Beta Free full access during beta. All models, tools, and daily picks included.

HOME PLATE UMPIRE

Alex Tosi

Slightly tight zone 43% NRFI 7 games tracked
Today Miami Marlins @ Chicago Cubs
2:20 PM ET at Wrigley Field

Career Averages

0.945
Zone Factor
15
K / Game
7.3
BB / Game
43%
NRFI Rate

Betting Implications

Slightly tighter zone (0.945x). Small lean toward hitter-friendly outcomes.

K factor of 0.895 means 10% fewer strikeouts than average. Be cautious with K over plays.

Season Breakdown

Season Games Zone K/G BB/G NRFI% K Factor
2026 7 0.945 15 7.3 43% 0.895

Factor Definitions

Zone Size Factor: Strike zone width relative to league average (1.000). Higher = wider zone, favoring pitchers.
K Factor: Strikeout rate in this umpire's games vs league average. Higher = more Ks.
BB Factor: Walk rate adjustment. Higher = fewer walks (wider zone suppresses walks).
NRFI Rate: % of games with no runs in the first inning. League average is roughly 55%.

Related research