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BALLPARK PROFILE 2026

Citi Field Park Factors 2026

New York Mets - Queens, NY

Citi Field plays as a pitcher-friendly run suppressor for 2026. Its run factor is 0.92 (-8% vs league average) and its home run factor is 0.86 (-14%).

Quick answer

Is Citi Field hitter-friendly?

Citi Field has a 0.92 run factor, 0.86 home run factor, and 0.94 hits factor. Values above 1.00 favor hitters; values below 1.00 favor pitchers.

Park-factor read

How Citi Field Changes the Bet

Citi Field usually asks hitters to earn it. Citi Field is the New York Mets home park in Queens, NY. For betting, the useful question is not whether the park is "good for hitters." It is which markets the venue changes most: home runs, run scoring, hits, or weather-sensitive totals.

Shape of the Park

The shortest corner is 335 feet and the deepest listed alley is 408 feet. The dimensions do not create an automatic edge by themselves, so hitter type and pitcher shape should drive the read.

Scoring Profile

A 0.86 home run factor keeps raw power in check. Overs on home run props need a stronger hitter or pitcher case than usual. The 0.92 run factor leans pitcher-friendly. Unders and NRFI angles still need price discipline, but the venue is not fighting them.

Weather Check

Citi Field is open-air, so wind, temperature, and humidity can move the run environment. Always check the daily weather before treating the static factor as final.

Sources for basic venue facts: Wikidata, Wikipedia, Official venue/team site. The park-factor read above is original thecapper.io analysis.

Opened
2009
Capacity
41,922
Roof
Open
Altitude
30 ft
Historical Venue Outcomes Artifact
449 graded model rows mapped to this home venue across official and research ledgers.
26%
model row win rate

History and naming

Citi Field Venue History

Citi Field opened in 2009 and serves as the home venue for the New York Mets. That matters for searchers and bettors because venue names, naming-rights language, and team shorthand often get mixed together in MLB research. This profile uses the current venue identity, then connects it to the team, city, roof type, dimensions, and betting factors that actually affect the game. At 41,922 listed capacity with grass playing surface, Citi Field is one of MLB's newer venue environments. The page cites Wikidata, Wikipedia, Official venue/team site for basic identity facts, but the park-factor interpretation is original analysis from thecapper.io.

Naming Note

Use Citi Field, New York Mets, and Queens, NY together when comparing park-factor research. Fans may search by team, city, nickname, sponsor name, or older venue wording, but the betting question is the same: which run environment is attached to today's home team? This page keeps the current official venue name tied to the New York Mets profile so related pages, game previews, tools, and model explanations can point to one canonical ballpark URL.

City
Queens, NY
Surface
Grass

Seasonal environment

How Weather Changes Citi Field

Citi Field is open-air, so the same dimensions can play differently by month. Cooler April and May nights can mute carry, summer heat can help the ball travel, and late-season weather can introduce sharper wind and temperature swings. For totals, home run props, hits, and NRFI/YRFI, treat the static park factor as the baseline and game-day weather as the adjustment.

Spring Read

Early-season games can be the most misleading because the listed park factor is season-neutral while temperature, wind, and lineup timing are not. Be careful with overs, home run props, and small-sample venue trends when the weather is cold.

Summer Read

Warmer air generally helps carry and can make hitter-friendly parks more dangerous. In pitcher-friendly parks, summer weather can narrow the gap between the static factor and the live betting environment.

Late-Season Read

September baseball can bring cooler nights, different shadows, bullpen fatigue, and lineup churn. That makes the park profile useful, but it should be paired with current team context and confirmed lineups.

Venue trends

Recent Run Environment at Citi Field

A static park factor tells you the baseline. Recent results show how the park has actually played this season: totals, team scoring, first-inning scoring, and tracked pitcher strikeout props.

10 recent games in focus
Last 5
8.8
avg runs/game
O/U3-2
YRFI40%
Home runs3.6
Away runs5.2
K props7.5
Last 10
9.3
avg runs/game
O/U5-3
YRFI50%
Home runs4
Away runs5.3
K props6
Last 20
8.9
avg runs/game
O/U5-3
YRFI56.3%
Home runs3.8
Away runs5.1
K props6.1
Last 30
8.9
avg runs/game
O/U5-3
YRFI56.3%
Home runs3.8
Away runs5.1
K props6.1
Season
8.9
avg runs/game
O/U5-3
YRFI56.3%
Home runs3.8
Away runs5.1
K props6.1

How to Use These Trends

Use the windows as a sanity check, not a pick generator. If the last 5 and last 10 are running hot but the season line is neutral, ask whether weather, opponent quality, or bullpen chaos created the spike. If every window points the same way, the venue signal is more interesting.

Recent Games at Citi Field
Date Matchup Runs Line O/U
2026-04-30 Washington Nationals @ New York Mets 9 7.5 OVER
2026-04-29 Washington Nationals @ New York Mets 16 7.5 OVER
2026-04-28 Washington Nationals @ New York Mets 8 7.5 OVER
2026-04-26 Colorado Rockies @ New York Mets 4 7.5 UNDER
2026-04-24 Colorado Rockies @ New York Mets 7 7.5 UNDER

Run trends use final MLB game scores by home venue. O/U trend uses available sportsbook total lines from game-market shadow rows. NRFI and K trend use graded pick outcome ledgers, so sample sizes vary by park.

Citi Field Park Factor Rankings

Run Factor
0.92
No. 30 of 30

-8% vs league average for run scoring. Pitcher-friendly lean.

Home Run Factor
0.86
No. 29 of 30

-14% vs league average for home runs. Strong pitcher park.

Hits Factor
0.94
No. 29 of 30

-6% vs league average for hit frequency. Pitcher-friendly lean.

Field Dimensions

Distances in feet from home plate. Shorter corners can amplify pull-side power, while deeper alleys can turn fly balls into extra-base volatility.

335 358 408 358 335 HOME
LF
335
CF
408
RF
335
Left-Center
358
Right-Center
358

Betting Impact

Run scoring is suppressed by 8%, giving pitchers, unders, and NRFI looks a structural venue boost. The 0.86 HR factor suppresses home runs, so raw power props need a stronger matchup case. Pitcher-friendly. Very deep alleys (358ft LCF/RCF) suppress power. Among MLB's most pitcher-friendly parks. Bad for power and run props.

Use with caution

Park factors are context, not picks. The best reads combine venue, weather, lineup quality, starting pitchers, bullpen form, and current market price.

Quirks explained

Citi Field Quirks and Notable Features

Ballpark quirks are only useful when they are translated into baseball outcomes. The notes below explain what each feature can change: pull-side power, doubles and triples, hit probability, totals, or weather sensitivity.

Very deep power alleys

Deep alleys and unusual outfield angles increase extra-base volatility. They can suppress some cheap home runs while creating more room for doubles and triples when line drives split the gaps.

High walls in LCF/RCF

A distinctive outfield wall changes more than home run distance. Caroms, wall height, and outfielder familiarity can affect doubles, triples, and total bases when hitters drive the ball to that part of the park.

Inspired by old Polo Grounds

This is mostly a venue-identity note, not a standalone betting edge. It helps anchor the park profile for readers, while the actionable handicapping inputs remain dimensions, roof, weather, run factor, HR factor, and recent scoring trends.

Source-backed venue facts

Sources and External References

We use reputable external references for basic venue identity facts only. The park-factor rankings, betting context, and model notes on this page are original thecapper.io analysis and do not copy prose from Wikipedia or official venue pages.

Wikidata entity
Q1072882
Architect
Populous
Owner
New York Mets
Operator
New York Mets
Coordinates
40.756986, -73.845783

FAQ

Is Citi Field hitter-friendly in 2026?

Citi Field has a 0.92 run factor and a 0.86 home run factor, making it a pitcher-friendly run suppressor for betting context.

What is the home run factor at Citi Field?

Citi Field has a 0.86 home run factor, which is -14% compared with a league-average 1.00 baseline.

How should bettors use Citi Field park factors?

Use the venue factor as context, not a standalone pick. Combine it with lineups, starting pitchers, bullpen form, weather, and market price before betting totals or player props.

Does weather change how Citi Field plays?

Citi Field is open-air, so the same dimensions can play differently by month. Cooler April and May nights can mute carry, summer heat can help the ball travel, and late-season weather can introduce sharper wind and temperature swings. For totals, home run props, hits, and NRFI/YRFI, treat the static park factor as the baseline and game-day weather as the adjustment.

What makes Citi Field unique?

Citi Field's notable features include Very deep power alleys, High walls in LCF/RCF, Inspired by old Polo Grounds. Those quirks matter because dimensions, wall shape, roof state, and air conditions can change batted-ball outcomes by market.