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BALLPARK PROFILE 2026

Fenway Park Park Factors 2026

Boston Red Sox - Boston, MA

Fenway Park plays as a premium home run environment for 2026. Its run factor is 1.08 (+8% vs league average) and its home run factor is 1.15 (+15%).

Quick answer

Is Fenway Park hitter-friendly?

Fenway Park has a 1.08 run factor, 1.15 home run factor, and 1.02 hits factor. Values above 1.00 favor hitters; values below 1.00 favor pitchers.

Park-factor read

How Fenway Park Changes the Bet

Fenway Park is more matchup-driven than reputation-driven. Fenway Park is the Boston Red Sox home park in Boston, MA. For betting, the useful question is not whether the park is "good for hitters." It is which markets the venue changes most: home runs, run scoring, hits, or weather-sensitive totals.

Shape of the Park

The shortest corner is 302 feet and the deepest listed alley is 390 feet. That shape helps explain why fly-ball hitters can matter here, especially when the weather is also helping carry.

Scoring Profile

A 1.15 home run factor gives power bats a real venue bump, but it still needs the right matchup and weather. The 1.08 run factor is meaningfully above average, so strong lineups and shaky bullpens get a little louder.

Weather Check

Fenway Park is open-air, so wind, temperature, and humidity can move the run environment. Always check the daily weather before treating the static factor as final.

Sources for basic venue facts: Wikidata, Wikipedia, Official venue/team site. The park-factor read above is original thecapper.io analysis.

Opened
1912
Capacity
37,755
Roof
Open
Altitude
20 ft
Historical Venue Outcomes Artifact
391 graded model rows mapped to this home venue across official and research ledgers.
25%
model row win rate

History and naming

Fenway Park Venue History

Fenway Park opened in 1912 and serves as the home venue for the Boston Red Sox. That matters for searchers and bettors because venue names, naming-rights language, and team shorthand often get mixed together in MLB research. This profile uses the current venue identity, then connects it to the team, city, roof type, dimensions, and betting factors that actually affect the game. At 37,755 listed capacity with grass playing surface, Fenway Park is one of MLB's century-old venue anchors. The page cites Wikidata, Wikipedia, Official venue/team site for basic identity facts, but the park-factor interpretation is original analysis from thecapper.io.

Naming Note

Use Fenway Park, Boston Red Sox, and Boston, MA together when comparing park-factor research. Fans may search by team, city, nickname, sponsor name, or older venue wording, but the betting question is the same: which run environment is attached to today's home team? This page keeps the current official venue name tied to the Boston Red Sox profile so related pages, game previews, tools, and model explanations can point to one canonical ballpark URL.

City
Boston, MA
Surface
Grass

Seasonal environment

How Weather Changes Fenway Park

Fenway Park is open-air, so the same dimensions can play differently by month. Cooler April and May nights can mute carry, summer heat can help the ball travel, and late-season weather can introduce sharper wind and temperature swings. For totals, home run props, hits, and NRFI/YRFI, treat the static park factor as the baseline and game-day weather as the adjustment.

Spring Read

Early-season games can be the most misleading because the listed park factor is season-neutral while temperature, wind, and lineup timing are not. Be careful with overs, home run props, and small-sample venue trends when the weather is cold.

Summer Read

Warmer air generally helps carry and can make hitter-friendly parks more dangerous. In pitcher-friendly parks, summer weather can narrow the gap between the static factor and the live betting environment.

Late-Season Read

September baseball can bring cooler nights, different shadows, bullpen fatigue, and lineup churn. That makes the park profile useful, but it should be paired with current team context and confirmed lineups.

Venue trends

Recent Run Environment at Fenway Park

A static park factor tells you the baseline. Recent results show how the park has actually played this season: totals, team scoring, first-inning scoring, and tracked pitcher strikeout props.

10 recent games in focus
Last 5
5.6
avg runs/game
O/U0-4-1
YRFI40%
Home runs2
Away runs3.6
K props3
Last 10
6
avg runs/game
O/U2-7-1
YRFI40%
Home runs2.2
Away runs3.8
K props7
Last 20
6.9
avg runs/game
O/U2-7-1
YRFI31.3%
Home runs3.1
Away runs3.8
K props5.4
Last 30
6.9
avg runs/game
O/U2-7-1
YRFI31.3%
Home runs3.1
Away runs3.8
K props5.4
Season
6.9
avg runs/game
O/U2-7-1
YRFI31.3%
Home runs3.1
Away runs3.8
K props5.4

How to Use These Trends

Use the windows as a sanity check, not a pick generator. If the last 5 and last 10 are running hot but the season line is neutral, ask whether weather, opponent quality, or bullpen chaos created the spike. If every window points the same way, the venue signal is more interesting.

Recent Games at Fenway Park
Date Matchup Runs Line O/U
2026-05-03 Houston Astros @ Boston Red Sox 4 8.5 UNDER
2026-05-02 Houston Astros @ Boston Red Sox 9 9 PUSH
2026-05-01 Houston Astros @ Boston Red Sox 4 9 UNDER
2026-04-23 New York Yankees @ Boston Red Sox 6 7.5 UNDER
2026-04-22 New York Yankees @ Boston Red Sox 5 7.5 UNDER

Run trends use final MLB game scores by home venue. O/U trend uses available sportsbook total lines from game-market shadow rows. NRFI and K trend use graded pick outcome ledgers, so sample sizes vary by park.

Fenway Park Park Factor Rankings

Run Factor
1.08
No. 3 of 30

+8% vs league average for run scoring. Strong hitter park.

Home Run Factor
1.15
No. 3 of 30

+15% vs league average for home runs. Extreme hitter park.

Hits Factor
1.02
No. 5 of 30

+2% vs league average for hit frequency. Slight hitter edge.

Field Dimensions

Distances in feet from home plate. Shorter corners can amplify pull-side power, while deeper alleys can turn fly balls into extra-base volatility.

310 379 390 380 302 HOME
LF
310
CF
390
RF
302
Left-Center
379
Right-Center
380

Betting Impact

Run scoring grades 8% above league average, so totals, hit props, and bullpen quality deserve extra attention. The 1.15 HR factor is 15% above average, which raises the ceiling for fly-ball hitters. HR-friendly to right field with short porch. Green Monster turns fly balls to left into wall doubles. One of MLB's most hitter-friendly parks overall. Great for total bases props.

Use with caution

Park factors are context, not picks. The best reads combine venue, weather, lineup quality, starting pitchers, bullpen form, and current market price.

Quirks explained

Fenway Park Quirks and Notable Features

Ballpark quirks are only useful when they are translated into baseball outcomes. The notes below explain what each feature can change: pull-side power, doubles and triples, hit probability, totals, or weather sensitivity.

Green Monster (37ft wall in left field)

The Green Monster makes Fenway different from a normal short left field. High fly balls that would be outs elsewhere can become wall doubles, while some would-be homers stay in play. That matters most for doubles, total bases, and right-handed pull contact.

Pesky's Pole (302ft in right field)

Pesky's Pole creates a very specific left-handed pull-power target. It can help a hitter who lifts the ball down the right-field line, but it should not be treated as a blanket boost for every batter or every fly ball.

Triangle in center field

Deep alleys and unusual outfield angles increase extra-base volatility. They can suppress some cheap home runs while creating more room for doubles and triples when line drives split the gaps.

Source-backed venue facts

Sources and External References

We use reputable external references for basic venue identity facts only. The park-factor rankings, betting context, and model notes on this page are original thecapper.io analysis and do not copy prose from Wikipedia or official venue pages.

Wikidata entity
Q49136
Owner
Fenway Sports Group
Operator
Fenway Sports Group
Coordinates
42.346389, -71.0975

FAQ

Is Fenway Park hitter-friendly in 2026?

Fenway Park has a 1.08 run factor and a 1.15 home run factor, making it a premium home run environment for betting context.

What is the home run factor at Fenway Park?

Fenway Park has a 1.15 home run factor, which is +15% compared with a league-average 1.00 baseline.

How should bettors use Fenway Park park factors?

Use the venue factor as context, not a standalone pick. Combine it with lineups, starting pitchers, bullpen form, weather, and market price before betting totals or player props.

Does weather change how Fenway Park plays?

Fenway Park is open-air, so the same dimensions can play differently by month. Cooler April and May nights can mute carry, summer heat can help the ball travel, and late-season weather can introduce sharper wind and temperature swings. For totals, home run props, hits, and NRFI/YRFI, treat the static park factor as the baseline and game-day weather as the adjustment.

What makes Fenway Park unique?

Fenway Park's notable features include Green Monster (37ft wall in left field), Pesky's Pole (302ft in right field), Triangle in center field. Those quirks matter because dimensions, wall shape, roof state, and air conditions can change batted-ball outcomes by market.