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BALLPARK PROFILE 2026

Petco Park Park Factors 2026

San Diego Padres - San Diego, CA

Petco Park plays as a mostly neutral betting environment for 2026. Its run factor is 0.96 (-4% vs league average) and its home run factor is 0.92 (-8%).

Quick answer

Is Petco Park hitter-friendly?

Petco Park has a 0.96 run factor, 0.92 home run factor, and 0.96 hits factor. Values above 1.00 favor hitters; values below 1.00 favor pitchers.

Park-factor read

How Petco Park Changes the Bet

Petco Park usually asks hitters to earn it. Petco Park is the San Diego Padres home park in San Diego, CA. For betting, the useful question is not whether the park is "good for hitters." It is which markets the venue changes most: home runs, run scoring, hits, or weather-sensitive totals.

Shape of the Park

The shortest corner is 322 feet and the deepest listed alley is 396 feet. The dimensions do not create an automatic edge by themselves, so hitter type and pitcher shape should drive the read.

Scoring Profile

A 0.92 home run factor keeps raw power in check. Overs on home run props need a stronger hitter or pitcher case than usual. The 0.96 run factor leans pitcher-friendly. Unders and NRFI angles still need price discipline, but the venue is not fighting them.

Weather Check

Petco Park is open-air, so wind, temperature, and humidity can move the run environment. Always check the daily weather before treating the static factor as final.

Sources for basic venue facts: Wikidata, Wikipedia, Official venue/team site. The park-factor read above is original thecapper.io analysis.

Opened
2004
Capacity
40,209
Roof
Open
Altitude
0 ft
Historical Venue Outcomes Artifact
450 graded model rows mapped to this home venue across official and research ledgers.
30%
model row win rate

History and naming

Petco Park Venue History

Petco Park opened in 2004 and serves as the home venue for the San Diego Padres. That matters for searchers and bettors because venue names, naming-rights language, and team shorthand often get mixed together in MLB research. This profile uses the current venue identity, then connects it to the team, city, roof type, dimensions, and betting factors that actually affect the game. At 40,209 listed capacity with grass playing surface, Petco Park is a modern-era MLB venue with enough history for park factors to stabilize. The page cites Wikidata, Wikipedia, Official venue/team site for basic identity facts, but the park-factor interpretation is original analysis from thecapper.io.

Naming Note

Use Petco Park, San Diego Padres, and San Diego, CA together when comparing park-factor research. Fans may search by team, city, nickname, sponsor name, or older venue wording, but the betting question is the same: which run environment is attached to today's home team? This page keeps the current official venue name tied to the San Diego Padres profile so related pages, game previews, tools, and model explanations can point to one canonical ballpark URL.

City
San Diego, CA
Surface
Grass

Seasonal environment

How Weather Changes Petco Park

Petco Park is open-air, so the same dimensions can play differently by month. Cooler April and May nights can mute carry, summer heat can help the ball travel, and late-season weather can introduce sharper wind and temperature swings. For totals, home run props, hits, and NRFI/YRFI, treat the static park factor as the baseline and game-day weather as the adjustment.

Spring Read

Early-season games can be the most misleading because the listed park factor is season-neutral while temperature, wind, and lineup timing are not. Be careful with overs, home run props, and small-sample venue trends when the weather is cold.

Summer Read

Warmer air generally helps carry and can make hitter-friendly parks more dangerous. In pitcher-friendly parks, summer weather can narrow the gap between the static factor and the live betting environment.

Late-Season Read

September baseball can bring cooler nights, different shadows, bullpen fatigue, and lineup churn. That makes the park profile useful, but it should be paired with current team context and confirmed lineups.

Venue trends

Recent Run Environment at Petco Park

A static park factor tells you the baseline. Recent results show how the park has actually played this season: totals, team scoring, first-inning scoring, and tracked pitcher strikeout props.

10 recent games in focus
Last 5
8.2
avg runs/game
O/U2-2-1
YRFI0%
Home runs2.6
Away runs5.6
K props5
Last 10
9.1
avg runs/game
O/U3-2-1
YRFI20%
Home runs4.5
Away runs4.6
K props4.5
Last 20
8.8
avg runs/game
O/U3-2-1
YRFI23.5%
Home runs4.5
Away runs4.3
K props4.5
Last 30
8.8
avg runs/game
O/U3-2-1
YRFI23.5%
Home runs4.5
Away runs4.3
K props4.5
Season
8.8
avg runs/game
O/U3-2-1
YRFI23.5%
Home runs4.5
Away runs4.3
K props4.5

How to Use These Trends

Use the windows as a sanity check, not a pick generator. If the last 5 and last 10 are running hot but the season line is neutral, ask whether weather, opponent quality, or bullpen chaos created the spike. If every window points the same way, the venue signal is more interesting.

Recent Games at Petco Park
Date Matchup Runs Line O/U
2026-05-03 Chicago White Sox @ San Diego Padres 7 8.5 UNDER
2026-05-02 Chicago White Sox @ San Diego Padres 4 7.5 UNDER
2026-05-01 Chicago White Sox @ San Diego Padres 10 8 OVER
2026-04-29 Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres 9 9 PUSH
2026-04-28 Chicago Cubs @ San Diego Padres 11 8 OVER

Run trends use final MLB game scores by home venue. O/U trend uses available sportsbook total lines from game-market shadow rows. NRFI and K trend use graded pick outcome ledgers, so sample sizes vary by park.

Petco Park Park Factor Rankings

Run Factor
0.96
No. 25 of 30

-4% vs league average for run scoring. Pitcher-friendly lean.

Home Run Factor
0.92
No. 27 of 30

-8% vs league average for home runs. Pitcher-friendly lean.

Hits Factor
0.96
No. 28 of 30

-4% vs league average for hit frequency. Pitcher-friendly lean.

Field Dimensions

Distances in feet from home plate. Shorter corners can amplify pull-side power, while deeper alleys can turn fly balls into extra-base volatility.

330 367 396 382 322 HOME
LF
330
CF
396
RF
322
Left-Center
367
Right-Center
382

Betting Impact

Run scoring is suppressed by 4%, giving pitchers, unders, and NRFI looks a structural venue boost. The 0.92 HR factor suppresses home runs, so raw power props need a stronger matchup case. Pitcher-friendly. Cool coastal climate suppresses power. Below-average for HRs and runs. Wind patterns from Pacific can vary. Good for NRFI.

Use with caution

Park factors are context, not picks. The best reads combine venue, weather, lineup quality, starting pitchers, bullpen form, and current market price.

Quirks explained

Petco Park Quirks and Notable Features

Ballpark quirks are only useful when they are translated into baseball outcomes. The notes below explain what each feature can change: pull-side power, doubles and triples, hit probability, totals, or weather sensitivity.

Cool San Diego weather

Cool, marine-influenced air can knock down carry, especially at night. That is most important for home run props and overs: a ball that leaves in warm inland air may die at the track in this environment.

Low humidity suppresses HRs

The 0.92 HR factor means fly balls need more help than usual. Upgrade only the strongest power matchups here, and be careful with long-shot homer prices that would look better in a smaller or warmer park.

Shallow right field

Shallow right field matters most for left-handed pull contact. It can create a narrow home run lane, but the broader park environment can still suppress overall scoring if marine air or deeper gaps work against hitters.

Source-backed venue facts

Sources and External References

We use reputable external references for basic venue identity facts only. The park-factor rankings, betting context, and model notes on this page are original thecapper.io analysis and do not copy prose from Wikipedia or official venue pages.

Wikidata entity
Q1194586
Architect
Populous
Owner
City of San Diego
Operator
San Diego Padres
Coordinates
32.707333, -117.156944

FAQ

Is Petco Park hitter-friendly in 2026?

Petco Park has a 0.96 run factor and a 0.92 home run factor, making it a mostly neutral betting environment for betting context.

What is the home run factor at Petco Park?

Petco Park has a 0.92 home run factor, which is -8% compared with a league-average 1.00 baseline.

How should bettors use Petco Park park factors?

Use the venue factor as context, not a standalone pick. Combine it with lineups, starting pitchers, bullpen form, weather, and market price before betting totals or player props.

Does weather change how Petco Park plays?

Petco Park is open-air, so the same dimensions can play differently by month. Cooler April and May nights can mute carry, summer heat can help the ball travel, and late-season weather can introduce sharper wind and temperature swings. For totals, home run props, hits, and NRFI/YRFI, treat the static park factor as the baseline and game-day weather as the adjustment.

What makes Petco Park unique?

Petco Park's notable features include Cool San Diego weather, Low humidity suppresses HRs, Shallow right field. Those quirks matter because dimensions, wall shape, roof state, and air conditions can change batted-ball outcomes by market.