Shape of the Park
The shortest corner is 330 feet and the deepest listed alley is 404 feet. The dimensions do not create an automatic edge by themselves, so hitter type and pitcher shape should drive the read.
BALLPARK PROFILE 2026
Target Field Park Factors 2026
Minnesota Twins - Minneapolis, MN
Target Field plays as a mostly neutral betting environment for 2026. Its run factor is 1.01 (+1% vs league average) and its home run factor is 0.99 (-1%).
Quick answer
Is Target Field hitter-friendly?
Target Field has a 1.01 run factor, 0.99 home run factor, and 1.00 hits factor. Values above 1.00 favor hitters; values below 1.00 favor pitchers.
Park-factor read
How Target Field Changes the Bet
Target Field is more matchup-driven than reputation-driven. Target Field is the Minnesota Twins home park in Minneapolis, MN. For betting, the useful question is not whether the park is "good for hitters." It is which markets the venue changes most: home runs, run scoring, hits, or weather-sensitive totals.
Scoring Profile
A 0.99 home run factor is close to neutral. Treat the venue as context, not the reason for the bet. The 1.01 run factor is close to average. Market price, starting pitchers, and confirmed lineups matter more than the park name.
Weather Check
Target Field is open-air, so wind, temperature, and humidity can move the run environment. Always check the daily weather before treating the static factor as final.
Sources for basic venue facts: Wikidata, Wikipedia, Official venue/team site. The park-factor read above is original thecapper.io analysis.
Opened
2010
Capacity
40,541
Roof
Open
Altitude
815 ft
Historical Venue Outcomes Artifact
533 graded model rows mapped to this home venue across official and research ledgers.
24%
model row win rate
History and naming
Target Field Venue History
Target Field opened in 2010 and serves as the home venue for the Minnesota Twins. That matters for searchers and bettors because venue names, naming-rights language, and team shorthand often get mixed together in MLB research. This profile uses the current venue identity, then connects it to the team, city, roof type, dimensions, and betting factors that actually affect the game. At 40,541 listed capacity with grass playing surface, Target Field is one of MLB's newer venue environments. The page cites Wikidata, Wikipedia, Official venue/team site for basic identity facts, but the park-factor interpretation is original analysis from thecapper.io.
Naming Note
Use Target Field, Minnesota Twins, and Minneapolis, MN together when comparing park-factor research. Fans may search by team, city, nickname, sponsor name, or older venue wording, but the betting question is the same: which run environment is attached to today's home team? This page keeps the current official venue name tied to the Minnesota Twins profile so related pages, game previews, tools, and model explanations can point to one canonical ballpark URL.
Seasonal environment
How Weather Changes Target Field
Target Field is open-air, so the same dimensions can play differently by month. Cooler April and May nights can mute carry, summer heat can help the ball travel, and late-season weather can introduce sharper wind and temperature swings. For totals, home run props, hits, and NRFI/YRFI, treat the static park factor as the baseline and game-day weather as the adjustment.
Spring Read
Early-season games can be the most misleading because the listed park factor is season-neutral while temperature, wind, and lineup timing are not. Be careful with overs, home run props, and small-sample venue trends when the weather is cold.
Summer Read
Warmer air generally helps carry and can make hitter-friendly parks more dangerous. In pitcher-friendly parks, summer weather can narrow the gap between the static factor and the live betting environment.
Late-Season Read
September baseball can bring cooler nights, different shadows, bullpen fatigue, and lineup churn. That makes the park profile useful, but it should be paired with current team context and confirmed lineups.
Venue trends
Recent Run Environment at Target Field
A static park factor tells you the baseline. Recent results show how the park has actually played this season: totals, team scoring, first-inning scoring, and tracked pitcher strikeout props.
10 recent games in focus
Last 5
9.6
avg runs/game
O/U3-1-1
YRFI40%
Home runs4.2
Away runs5.4
K propsN/A
Last 10
9.4
avg runs/game
O/U7-2-1
YRFI40%
Home runs4.2
Away runs5.2
K props5.5
Last 20
9.7
avg runs/game
O/U7-2-1
YRFI45%
Home runs5
Away runs4.7
K props5.2
Last 30
9.7
avg runs/game
O/U7-2-1
YRFI45%
Home runs5
Away runs4.7
K props5.2
Season
9.7
avg runs/game
O/U7-2-1
YRFI45%
Home runs5
Away runs4.7
K props5.2
How to Use These Trends
Use the windows as a sanity check, not a pick generator. If the last 5 and last 10 are running hot but the season line is neutral, ask whether weather, opponent quality, or bullpen chaos created the spike. If every window points the same way, the venue signal is more interesting.
Recent Games at Target Field
| Date | Matchup | Runs | Line | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Toronto Blue Jays @ Minnesota Twins | 7 | 8 | UNDER |
| 2026-05-02 | Toronto Blue Jays @ Minnesota Twins | 15 | 7.5 | OVER |
| 2026-05-01 | Toronto Blue Jays @ Minnesota Twins | 10 | 8.5 | OVER |
| 2026-04-30 | Toronto Blue Jays @ Minnesota Twins | 8 | 8 | PUSH |
| 2026-04-29 | Seattle Mariners @ Minnesota Twins | 8 | 7.5 | OVER |
Run trends use final MLB game scores by home venue. O/U trend uses available sportsbook total lines from game-market shadow rows. NRFI and K trend use graded pick outcome ledgers, so sample sizes vary by park.
Target Field Park Factor Rankings
Run Factor
1.01
No. 12 of 30
+1% vs league average for run scoring. Near neutral.
Home Run Factor
0.99
No. 16 of 30
-1% vs league average for home runs. Near neutral.
Hits Factor
1.00
No. 14 of 30
Even vs league average for hit frequency. Near neutral.
Field Dimensions
Distances in feet from home plate. Shorter corners can amplify pull-side power, while deeper alleys can turn fly balls into extra-base volatility.
LF
330
CF
404
RF
330
Left-Center
377
Right-Center
370
Betting Impact
Run scoring is close to league average, so matchup, lineup, and pitcher form should carry more weight than venue alone. Neutral park, slightly elevated. Elevation aids HRs slightly but not dramatically. Clean, balanced dimensions. Standard expectations for all props.
Use with caution
Park factors are context, not picks. The best reads combine venue, weather, lineup quality, starting pitchers, bullpen form, and current market price.
Quirks explained
Target Field Quirks and Notable Features
Ballpark quirks are only useful when they are translated into baseball outcomes. The notes below explain what each feature can change: pull-side power, doubles and triples, hit probability, totals, or weather sensitivity.
High altitude in AL Central
Elevation can add carry compared with lower-altitude parks, but the size of the effect depends on weather and dimensions. At 815 feet, this is a secondary factor to weigh after matchup and market price.
Open-air design
Open-air design means the listed park factor is only the starting point. Cold, wind, and humidity can move this park away from its baseline, especially for totals, home runs, and first-inning scoring.
Balanced outfield
A balanced layout means handedness is less likely to be the main reason for a bet. In neutral geometry parks, pitcher quality, lineup depth, bullpen usage, and price should usually outrank the venue angle.
Source-backed venue facts
Sources and External References
We use reputable external references for basic venue identity facts only. The park-factor rankings, betting context, and model notes on this page are original thecapper.io analysis and do not copy prose from Wikipedia or official venue pages.
- Wikidata entity
- Q1156635
- Architect
- Populous
- Owner
- Star Tribune
- Operator
- Minnesota Twins
- Coordinates
- 44.981667, -93.278333
FAQ
Is Target Field hitter-friendly in 2026?
Target Field has a 1.01 run factor and a 0.99 home run factor, making it a mostly neutral betting environment for betting context.
What is the home run factor at Target Field?
Target Field has a 0.99 home run factor, which is -1% compared with a league-average 1.00 baseline.
How should bettors use Target Field park factors?
Use the venue factor as context, not a standalone pick. Combine it with lineups, starting pitchers, bullpen form, weather, and market price before betting totals or player props.
Does weather change how Target Field plays?
Target Field is open-air, so the same dimensions can play differently by month. Cooler April and May nights can mute carry, summer heat can help the ball travel, and late-season weather can introduce sharper wind and temperature swings. For totals, home run props, hits, and NRFI/YRFI, treat the static park factor as the baseline and game-day weather as the adjustment.
What makes Target Field unique?
Target Field's notable features include High altitude in AL Central, Open-air design, Balanced outfield. Those quirks matter because dimensions, wall shape, roof state, and air conditions can change batted-ball outcomes by market.