Research Model

Total Bases Research

Research — performance tracked, not on official picks surface

Research Model v1.0.0 Full record →

This is a research model — total bases picks are not included in the official picks feed. It follows the Hits pipeline structure, but prices batter total bases lines at 1.5 and keeps every row capped at research. Treat it as a slate-scanning tool, not an official recommendation stream.

Data Status

Total bases model has not published current-day rows yet.

Current-day file exists, but no rows are ready yet.

Updated: Oct 22, 1:30 PM ET

Source: Oct 22, 1:30 PM ET

Today's total bases picks aren't ready yet

Current-day file exists, but no rows are ready yet.

Research Performance

Research only

Backtested across 50 slates (2026-07-26 through 2026-09-23). home runs on 7268 graded batter-rows. Overall rate: —. This model is not part of the official public W/L record.

Odds-based edge (1361 priced picks)

Flat-unit ROI among picks with saved bookmaker odds. Directional only at these sample sizes.

Bucket	Picks	Wins	Implied	Model	Edge	Flat ROI
<55	456	297	53.0%	51.9%	-1.2%	+24.7%
55-59	478	277	54.2%	57.6%	3.4%	+11.3%
60-64	324	192	54.3%	62.2%	7.8%	+12.6%
65-69	98	44	44.2%	66.5%	22.3%	+1.7%
70+	5	2	44.4%	71.1%	26.8%	-5.6%

Research model. Not included in the official public pick record.
Useful for shopping total-bases ladders and Over 1.5 discovery.
Current TB model is intentionally cloned from the Hits pipeline structure; treat calibration as directional until dedicated TB retraining lands.

Summary generated 2026-09-24T07:13:46Z. Deterministic, offline, no paid APIs.