Free Beta
MLB Models
Picks publish as each model becomes ready. Status shown per card below.
Official Models
BetaNRFI / YRFI
No-run and yes-run first inning predictions using pitcher profiles, park factors, and umpire zones.
NRFI model is waiting on current-day rows.
Strikeouts
BetaStrikeouts
Pitcher strikeout projections from K rates, opponent tendencies, and umpire zones. v2 promoted.
First 5 Innings
BetaFirst 5 Innings
Moneyline and runline predictions through 5 innings using starter matchups and park factors.
SlateIQ
BetaSlateIQ / +EV Props
Positive-EV player prop identification across hits, strikeouts, and bases. Statcast-driven edge detection.
Research Models
ResearchPerformance-tracked but not on the official picks surface. These models run daily alongside official picks and inform future promotion decisions.
To Record a Hit
ResearchTo Record a Hit
High-conviction hit probability using Statcast profiles, pitcher tendencies, and matchup history.
Total Bases Probability
ResearchTotal Bases Probability
Research-only total bases board built to rank Over 1.5 total-bases spots using batter quality, matchup context, and pricing.
Home Run Probability
ResearchHome Run Probability
Per-batter HR probability from barrel rates, exit velocity, and park dimensions.
Simulation Model
ResearchSimulation Model
Runs thousands of projected game outcomes using scoring expectations, starters, bullpen context, and frozen sportsbook odds.
Simulation NRFI
ResearchSimulation NRFI
First-inning scoring simulation using team run environments. Compares simulation-derived NRFI/YRFI probabilities against the official model.
What We're Testing
LabShadow variants and challenger models running alongside production. Tracked for promotion readiness — not published picks.
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Hits — Projected Lineup (Price-Edge Aware) Promotion Review
Shadow of the Hits model allowing projected lineups. Top-pick tier: 92.9% WP (26W–2L, 41 slates). Evaluating selective promotion of top-pick picks to early-access board. n=448 graded, gate met.
Early Beta
Early BetaGame Markets
Poisson-compound engine estimating win, spread, and total probabilities across 7 market types per game. Shadow-tracked for performance evaluation. Not official picks.
Full access to every model during beta
All models, tools, and daily picks are free while we build and refine. No account needed.
Our Approach
Each model uses multi-year historical data, verified Statcast metrics, environmental factors, and probability estimation to deliver actionable predictions. Confidence scores reflect estimated likelihood relative to market expectations. Picks publish before first pitch and update as lineups finalize.