Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners Preview

On the season, Bryan Woo holds the ERA edge in this matchup. Grayson Rodriguez carries a 5.96 ERA and 1.54 WHIP, while Bryan Woo sits at 3.92 ERA and 1.08 WHIP.
Strikeout rates: Grayson Rodriguez at 7.98 K/9, Bryan Woo at 8.96 K/9.
K projections: Grayson Rodriguez at 4.0 (line 4.0)
Bryan Woo projected at 4.7 (line 4.5).
First-inning scoring: Grayson Rodriguez holds a 65.7% career NRFI rate, Bryan Woo at 73.4%. Combined average: 69.6%.
Both starters throw from the R side, limiting platoon splits for either lineup.

Our strikeout model weighs pitcher K rate, opponent lineup whiff tendency, park factors, and umpire zone size to project total strikeouts per starter.

Grayson Rodriguez (Los Angeles Angels) is projected for 4.0 strikeouts against a posted line of 4.0. The projection is close to the line with no actionable edge.
He faces a high-K lineup that strikes out at 24.7% with a 28.0% whiff rate.

Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners) is projected for 4.7 strikeouts against a posted line of 4.5. The projection is close to the line with no actionable edge.
He faces a high-K lineup that strikes out at 29.1% with a 28.0% whiff rate.

The Los Angeles Angels lineup is more vulnerable to strikeouts in this matchup. Seattle Mariners batters K at 24.7%, Los Angeles Angels batters at 29.1%.

Lineups are projected as of this writing.

Los Angeles Angels K vulnerability: 29.1% strikeout rate, 28.0% whiff rate.

Seattle Mariners K vulnerability: 24.7% strikeout rate, 28.0% whiff rate.

• T-Mobile Park carries a 0.95 run factor (neutral).
• Home run factor: 0.92 — the park suppresses HR power.
• Park notes: Cool maritime climate; Lower wall in right field; Retractable roof.
• Roof: Retractable.

Climate controlled. Roof expected closed. Standard 72F conditions, no wind factor.

Home plate umpire: Not yet assigned. Umpire data will be added once the assignment is posted.

Run projections not available for this game.