San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview

On the season, Nick Pivetta holds the ERA edge in this matchup. Nick Pivetta carries a 3.30 ERA and 1.00 WHIP, while Tyler Glasnow sits at 3.46 ERA and 0.96 WHIP.
Strikeout rates: Nick Pivetta at 10.50 K/9, Tyler Glasnow at 11.57 K/9.
K projections: Nick Pivetta at 4.0 (line 4.0)
Tyler Glasnow projected at 5.1 (line 5.0).
First-inning scoring: Nick Pivetta holds a 74.9% career NRFI rate, Tyler Glasnow at 78.6%. Combined average: 76.8%.
Both starters throw from the R side, limiting platoon splits for either lineup.

Our strikeout model weighs pitcher K rate, opponent lineup whiff tendency, park factors, and umpire zone size to project total strikeouts per starter.

Nick Pivetta (San Diego Padres) is projected for 4.0 strikeouts against a posted line of 4.0. The projection is close to the line with no actionable edge.
He faces a moderate-K lineup that strikes out at 22.2% with a 28.0% whiff rate.

Tyler Glasnow (Los Angeles Dodgers) is projected for 5.1 strikeouts against a posted line of 5.0. The projection is close to the line with no actionable edge.
He faces a moderate-K lineup that strikes out at 22.3% with a 28.0% whiff rate.

The San Diego Padres lineup is more vulnerable to strikeouts in this matchup. Los Angeles Dodgers batters K at 22.2%, San Diego Padres batters at 22.3%.

Lineups are projected as of this writing.

San Diego Padres K vulnerability: 22.3% strikeout rate, 28.0% whiff rate.

Los Angeles Dodgers K vulnerability: 22.2% strikeout rate, 28.0% whiff rate.

Park factor data not available for UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.

First pitch forecast: 69F with 5 mph winds from the WSW. Humidity: 88%.

Home plate umpire: Not yet assigned. Umpire data will be added once the assignment is posted.

Run projections not available for this game.