- Starter matchup: Tarik Skubal (Los Angeles Dodgers) vs Yunior Marte (San Francisco Giants).
- Lineup status: projected until official release.
- Park factor: 0.93 runs; venue Oracle Park.
Pitching Matchup
On the season, Tarik Skubal holds the ERA edge in this matchup. Tarik Skubal carries a 2.85 ERA and 0.99 WHIP, while Yunior Marte sits at 4.66 ERA and 1.40 WHIP.
Strikeout rates: Tarik Skubal at 10.44 K/9, Yunior Marte at 5.12 K/9.
K projections: Tarik Skubal at 5.0 (line 5.0)
Yunior Marte projected at 2.4 (line 4.0).
Tarik Skubal has a 77.1% career NRFI rate. No first-inning data available for Yunior Marte.
This is a LHP vs RHP matchup, creating potential platoon advantages in both lineups.
Strikeout Projections
Our strikeout model weighs pitcher K rate, opponent lineup whiff tendency, park factors, and umpire zone size to project total strikeouts per starter.
Tarik Skubal (Los Angeles Dodgers) is projected for 5.0 strikeouts against a posted line of 5.0. The projection is close to the line with no actionable edge.
He faces a high-K lineup that strikes out at 27.2% with a 28.0% whiff rate.
Yunior Marte (San Francisco Giants) is projected for 2.4 strikeouts against a posted line of 4.0. The projection sits 1.6 K below the line, giving the model an Under lean.
He faces a moderate-K lineup that strikes out at 22.2% with a 28.0% whiff rate.
The San Francisco Giants lineup is more vulnerable to strikeouts in this matchup. San Francisco Giants batters K at 27.2%, Los Angeles Dodgers batters at 22.2%.
Prop Edges
Lineup & Matchup Breakdown
Lineups are projected as of this writing.
Los Angeles Dodgers K vulnerability: 22.2% strikeout rate, 28.0% whiff rate.
San Francisco Giants K vulnerability: 27.2% strikeout rate, 28.0% whiff rate.
Ballpark, Weather & Umpire
- Oracle Park carries a 0.93 run factor (pitcher-friendly).
- Home run factor: 0.86 — the park suppresses HR power.
- Park notes: McCovey Cove in right field; Bay breezes suppress HRs; Chilly climate.
- First pitch forecast: 62F with 17 mph winds from the WNW. Humidity: 64%.
- Temperature drops from 62F at first pitch to 58F by the late innings.
- Wind advisory: 17 mph winds from the WNW may impact fly balls.
Home plate umpire: Not yet assigned. Umpire data will be added once the assignment is posted.
Run Projections & Total
Run projections not available for this game.