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Game-Day Update Lineups: Projected Odds Pending 5 min read

New York Mets vs Washington Nationals Preview

NYM at WSH 2026-09-25 preview: probable pitchers, projected lineups, NRFI/F5 model picks, weather, ballpark, and umpire context.

New York Mets at Washington Nationals MLB game preview for September 25, 2026
NYM
New York Mets
TBD ?HP
@
6:45 PM ET
Nationals Park
WSH
Washington Nationals
Andrew Alvarez LHP
Last updated Friday, September 25, 2026

Key Facts

Matchup
New York Mets at Washington Nationals
Date
Friday, September 25, 2026
First Pitch
6:45 PM ET
Venue
Nationals Park
Probable Starters
TBD (?HP) vs Andrew Alvarez (LHP)
Lineups
Projected
Last Updated
Sep 25, 12:23 AM ET

Betting Board

Lines not yet posted
Sportsbooks have not published markets for this matchup yet. Check back closer to first pitch, or see today's model-backed picks for games with live odds.

Model Angles

NRFI Model
Not yet available
Projected Total
TBD
Park Factor
0.99
Neutral · HR 0.96
First Pitch Weather
70°F
11.1 mph N
The New York Mets visit the Washington Nationals at 6:45 PM ET at Nationals Park. Probable starters: TBD for New York Mets opposite Andrew Alvarez for Washington Nationals. Lineups are projected until first pitch. This preview is built deterministically from projected lineups, probable starters, odds where available, first-pitch weather, park factors, and TheCapperIO model context.
  • Starter matchup: TBD (New York Mets) vs Andrew Alvarez (Washington Nationals).
  • Lineup status: projected until official release.
  • Park factor: 0.99 runs; venue Nationals Park.

Pitching Matchup

NYM Away
TBD
?HP · undefined-undefined · undefined GS
ERA
undefined
WHIP
undefined
K/9
undefined
IP
undefined
Career: undefined ERA · undefined WHIP · undefined K/9
WSH Home
Andrew Alvarez
LHP · 2-6 · 16 GS
ERA
3.17
WHIP
1.26
K/9
8.92
IP
108.0
Career: 3.02 ERA · 1.23 WHIP · 8.70 K/9
NRFI: 100.0%
1st Inn ERA: 3.50
  • Andrew Alvarez has a 100.0% career NRFI rate. No first-inning data available for TBD.
  • This is a ?HP vs LHP matchup, creating potential platoon advantages in both lineups.

Strikeout Projections

View all K projections on SlateIQ

Our strikeout model weighs pitcher K rate, opponent lineup whiff tendency, park factors, and umpire zone size to project total strikeouts per starter.

Strikeout projections not available for this game.

Lineup & Matchup Breakdown

Batter vs Pitcher matchup tool

Lineups are projected as of this writing.

Ballpark, Weather & Umpire

Nationals Park
Run Factor0.99
HR Factor0.96
Full park profile
Hourly Game Forecast
70°
6 PM
11 mph
N
65°
7 PM
9 mph
NNW
65°
8 PM
9 mph
NNW
65°
9 PM
9 mph
NNW
  • Nationals Park carries a 0.99 run factor (neutral).
  • Home run factor: 0.96 — the park neutral for HR power.
  • Park notes: Potomac River proximity; Humid DC climate; Relatively neutral dimensions.
  • First pitch forecast: 70F with 11 mph winds from the N. Humidity: 39%.
  • Temperature drops from 70F at first pitch to 65F by the late innings.
  • Wind advisory: 11 mph winds from the N may impact fly balls.

Home plate umpire: Not yet assigned. Umpire data will be added once the assignment is posted.

Run Projections & Total

Run projections not available for this game.

The Bottom Line
This is a data-first preview, not a pick. Check final odds once sportsbooks post markets. Confirm lineups at first pitch. Bet responsibly. 1-800-GAMBLER.
This preview is generated from thecapper.io projection models and publicly available data. All projections are model estimates, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.