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Tampa Bay Rays vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview

TB at PHI 2026-09-26 preview: probable pitchers, projected lineups, NRFI/F5 model picks, weather, ballpark, and umpire context.

Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies MLB game preview for September 26, 2026
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
Griffin Jax RHP
@
7:15 PM ET
Citizens Bank Park
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
TBD ?HP
Last updated Saturday, September 26, 2026

Key Facts

Matchup
Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies
Date
Saturday, September 26, 2026
First Pitch
7:15 PM ET
Venue
Citizens Bank Park
Probable Starters
Griffin Jax (RHP) vs TBD (?HP)
Lineups
Projected
Last Updated
Sep 26, 12:22 AM ET

Betting Board

Lines not yet posted
Sportsbooks have not published markets for this matchup yet. Check back closer to first pitch, or see today's model-backed picks for games with live odds.

Model Angles

NRFI Model
Not yet available
Projected Total
TBD
Park Factor
1.04
Neutral · HR 1.08
First Pitch Weather
58°F
7.7 mph N
The Tampa Bay Rays visit the Philadelphia Phillies at 7:15 PM ET at Citizens Bank Park. Probable starters: Griffin Jax for Tampa Bay Rays opposite TBD for Philadelphia Phillies. Lineups are projected until first pitch. This preview is built deterministically from projected lineups, probable starters, odds where available, first-pitch weather, park factors, and TheCapperIO model context.
  • Starter matchup: Griffin Jax (Tampa Bay Rays) vs TBD (Philadelphia Phillies).
  • Lineup status: projected until official release.
  • Park factor: 1.04 runs; venue Citizens Bank Park.

Pitching Matchup

TB Away
Griffin Jax
RHP · 8-10 · 22 GS
ERA
3.62
WHIP
1.19
K/9
9.47
IP
109.1
Career: 3.94 ERA · 1.16 WHIP · 10.04 K/9
NRFI: 71.4%
1st Inn ERA: 4.29
PHI Home
TBD
?HP · undefined-undefined · undefined GS
ERA
undefined
WHIP
undefined
K/9
undefined
IP
undefined
Career: undefined ERA · undefined WHIP · undefined K/9
  • Griffin Jax has a 71.4% career NRFI rate. No first-inning data available for TBD.
  • This is a RHP vs ?HP matchup, creating potential platoon advantages in both lineups.

Strikeout Projections

View all K projections on SlateIQ

Our strikeout model weighs pitcher K rate, opponent lineup whiff tendency, park factors, and umpire zone size to project total strikeouts per starter.

Strikeout projections not available for this game.

Prop Edges

1 model signal detected
Hits (1+) Lean Hit 0.5
69.9%
See all today's picks and edges

Lineup & Matchup Breakdown

Batter vs Pitcher matchup tool

Lineups are projected as of this writing.

Ballpark, Weather & Umpire

Citizens Bank Park
Run Factor1.04
HR Factor1.08
Full park profile
Hourly Game Forecast
58°
7 PM
8 mph
N
58°
8 PM
8 mph
N
58°
9 PM
8 mph
N
58°
10 PM
8 mph
N
  • Citizens Bank Park carries a 1.04 run factor (neutral).
  • Home run factor: 1.08 — the park elevates HR power.
  • Park notes: Short left field porch (329ft); Elevated playing surface; Art Deco design.

First pitch forecast: 58F with 8 mph winds from the N. Humidity: 84%.

Home plate umpire: Not yet assigned. Umpire data will be added once the assignment is posted.

Run Projections & Total

Run projections not available for this game.

The Bottom Line
This is a data-first preview, not a pick. Check final odds once sportsbooks post markets. Confirm lineups at first pitch. Bet responsibly. 1-800-GAMBLER.
This preview is generated from thecapper.io projection models and publicly available data. All projections are model estimates, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.