The Tampa Bay Rays visit the New York Yankees at 8:00 PM ET at Yankee Stadium. Probable starters: Nick Martinez for Tampa Bay Rays opposite Max Fried for New York Yankees. Lineups are confirmed. This preview is built deterministically from projected lineups, probable starters, odds where available, first-pitch weather, park factors, and TheCapperIO model context.
- Starter matchup: Nick Martinez (Tampa Bay Rays) vs Max Fried (New York Yankees).
- Lineup status: confirmed by both teams.
- Park factor: 1.04 runs; venue Yankee Stadium.
Pitching Matchup
TB
Away
Nick Martinez
RHP · 15-6 · 31 GS
ERA
3.10
WHIP
1.09
K/9
5.45
IP
180.0
Career: 3.99 ERA · 1.27 WHIP · 6.26 K/9
NYY
Home
Max Fried
LHP · 5-5 · 20 GS
ERA
2.80
WHIP
0.99
K/9
8.31
IP
112.2
Career: 3.01 ERA · 1.14 WHIP · 8.73 K/9
On the season, Max Fried holds the ERA edge in this matchup. Nick Martinez carries a 3.10 ERA and 1.09 WHIP, while Max Fried sits at 2.80 ERA and 0.99 WHIP.
Strikeout rates: Nick Martinez at 5.45 K/9, Max Fried at 8.31 K/9.
This is a RHP vs LHP matchup, creating potential platoon advantages in both lineups.
Strikeout Projections
Our strikeout model weighs pitcher K rate, opponent lineup whiff tendency, park factors, and umpire zone size to project total strikeouts per starter.
Strikeout projections not available for this game.
Lineup & Matchup Breakdown
Batter vs Pitcher matchup tool
Lineups are confirmed as of this writing.
Ballpark, Weather & Umpire
Hourly Game Forecast
57°
8 PM
6 mph
SSE
57°
9 PM
6 mph
S
56°
10 PM
6 mph
S
55°
11 PM
5 mph
S
- Yankee Stadium carries a 1.04 run factor (neutral).
- Home run factor: 1.11 — the park elevates HR power.
- Park notes: Short porch in right field (314ft); Monument Park in center field; High walls in left-center.
First pitch forecast: 57F with 6 mph winds from the SSE. Humidity: 78%.
Home plate umpire: Not yet assigned. Umpire data will be added once the assignment is posted.
Run Projections & Total
- Our projection model puts the total at 6.0 combined runs, with Tampa Bay Rays projected for 2.6 and New York Yankees for 3.4.
- No total line posted yet for comparison.
- The run projection favors New York Yankees by 0.8 runs.
The Bottom Line
This is a data-first preview, not a pick. Check final odds once sportsbooks post markets. Bet responsibly. 1-800-GAMBLER.
This preview is generated from thecapper.io projection models and publicly available data. All projections are model estimates, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.