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Tampa Bay Rays vs Milwaukee Brewers Preview

TB at MIL 2026-10-23 preview: probable pitchers, projected lineups, NRFI/F5 model picks, weather, ballpark, and umpire context.

Tampa Bay Rays at Milwaukee Brewers MLB game preview for October 23, 2026
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
Nick Martinez RHP
@
8:00 PM ET
American Family Field
MIL
Milwaukee Brewers
Jacob Misiorowski RHP
Last updated Friday, October 23, 2026

Key Facts

Matchup
Tampa Bay Rays at Milwaukee Brewers
Date
Friday, October 23, 2026
First Pitch
8:00 PM ET
Venue
American Family Field
Probable Starters
Nick Martinez (RHP) vs Jacob Misiorowski (RHP)
Lineups
Projected
Last Updated
Oct 23, 12:24 AM ET

Betting Board

Lines not yet posted
Sportsbooks have not published markets for this matchup yet. Check back closer to first pitch, or see today's model-backed picks for games with live odds.

Model Angles

NRFI Model
Not yet available
Projected Total
TBD
Park Factor
0.98
Neutral · HR 1.06
First Pitch Weather
Roof
Climate controlled
The Tampa Bay Rays visit the Milwaukee Brewers at 8:00 PM ET at American Family Field. Probable starters: Nick Martinez for Tampa Bay Rays opposite Jacob Misiorowski for Milwaukee Brewers. Lineups are projected until first pitch. This preview is built deterministically from projected lineups, probable starters, odds where available, a roofed ballpark note, park factors, and TheCapperIO model context.
  • Starter matchup: Nick Martinez (Tampa Bay Rays) vs Jacob Misiorowski (Milwaukee Brewers).
  • Lineup status: projected until official release.
  • Park factor: 0.98 runs; venue American Family Field.

Pitching Matchup

TB Away
Nick Martinez
RHP · 15-6 · 31 GS
ERA
3.10
WHIP
1.09
K/9
5.45
IP
180.0
Career: 3.99 ERA · 1.27 WHIP · 6.26 K/9
MIL Home
Jacob Misiorowski
RHP · 16-5 · 30 GS
ERA
1.80
WHIP
0.80
K/9
12.98
IP
174.2
Career: 2.51 ERA · 0.92 WHIP · 12.68 K/9

On the season, Jacob Misiorowski holds the ERA edge in this matchup. Nick Martinez carries a 3.10 ERA and 1.09 WHIP, while Jacob Misiorowski sits at 1.80 ERA and 0.80 WHIP.
Strikeout rates: Nick Martinez at 5.45 K/9, Jacob Misiorowski at 12.98 K/9.
Both starters throw from the R side, limiting platoon splits for either lineup.

Strikeout Projections

View all K projections on SlateIQ

Our strikeout model weighs pitcher K rate, opponent lineup whiff tendency, park factors, and umpire zone size to project total strikeouts per starter.

Strikeout projections not available for this game.

Lineup & Matchup Breakdown

Batter vs Pitcher matchup tool

Lineups are projected as of this writing.

Ballpark, Weather & Umpire

American Family Field
Run Factor0.98
HR Factor1.06
Full park profile
  • American Family Field carries a 0.98 run factor (neutral).
  • Home run factor: 1.06 — the park elevates HR power.
  • Park notes: 6th easiest HR but 26th in runs; Elevated position; Retractable roof.
  • Roof: Retractable.

Climate controlled. Roof expected closed. Standard 72F conditions, no wind factor.

Home plate umpire: Not yet assigned. Umpire data will be added once the assignment is posted.

Run Projections & Total

Run projections not available for this game.

The Bottom Line
This is a data-first preview, not a pick. Check final odds once sportsbooks post markets. Confirm lineups at first pitch. Bet responsibly. 1-800-GAMBLER.
This preview is generated from thecapper.io projection models and publicly available data. All projections are model estimates, not guarantees. Gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.