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Cheat sheet · Hits

Today's Hit Edges

Slate: Today (2026-09-21)

Fresh Updated 9 minutes ago

Top hit-prop edges ranked by model probability and edge over the market line.

Research model · Total picks scored: 53 · Full model → Methodology →
  1. 1

    Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

    Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles

    Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles · Oriole Park at Camden Yards · 6:35 PM ET

    69.9%
    +8.1pp edge
    Lean Hit
    Park HR factor: 1.02 vs: Shane Baz Confidence: Low
    Market line: 0.5 · DraftKings
  2. 2

    Austin Martin

    Minnesota Twins vs San Francisco Giants

    Minnesota Twins @ San Francisco Giants · Oracle Park · 9:45 PM ET

    41.2%
    +3.8pp edge
    Neutral
    Park HR factor: 0.91 vs: Blade Tidwell Confidence: Low
  3. 3

    Gunnar Henderson

    Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays

    Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles · Oriole Park at Camden Yards · 6:35 PM ET

    41.2%
    +3.6pp edge
    Neutral
    Park HR factor: 1.02 vs: Trey Yesavage Confidence: Low
    Market line: 0.5 · DraftKings
  4. 4

    Daylen Lile

    Washington Nationals vs Detroit Tigers

    Washington Nationals @ Detroit Tigers · Comerica Park · 6:40 PM ET

    41.2%
    +3.4pp edge
    Neutral
    Park HR factor: 0.90 vs: River Ryan Confidence: Low
    Market line: 0.5 · BetMGM
  5. 5

    Dillon Dingler

    Detroit Tigers vs Washington Nationals

    Washington Nationals @ Detroit Tigers · Comerica Park · 6:40 PM ET

    41.2%
    +3.0pp edge
    Neutral
    Park HR factor: 0.90 vs: DJ Herz Confidence: Low
    Market line: 0.5 · BetMGM
  6. 6

    Gleyber Torres

    Detroit Tigers vs Washington Nationals

    Washington Nationals @ Detroit Tigers · Comerica Park · 6:40 PM ET

    41.2%
    +2.9pp edge
    Neutral
    Park HR factor: 0.90 vs: DJ Herz Confidence: Low
    Market line: 0.5 · BetMGM
  7. 7

    Riley Greene

    Detroit Tigers vs Washington Nationals

    Washington Nationals @ Detroit Tigers · Comerica Park · 6:40 PM ET

    41.2%
    +2.9pp edge
    Neutral
    Park HR factor: 0.90 vs: DJ Herz Confidence: Low
    Market line: 0.5 · BetOnline.ag
  8. 8

    George Springer

    Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles

    Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles · Oriole Park at Camden Yards · 6:35 PM ET

    41.2%
    +2.8pp edge
    Neutral
    Park HR factor: 1.02 vs: Shane Baz Confidence: Low
    Market line: 0.5 · BetMGM
  9. 9

    Pete Alonso

    Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays

    Toronto Blue Jays @ Baltimore Orioles · Oriole Park at Camden Yards · 6:35 PM ET

    41.2%
    +2.4pp edge
    Neutral
    Park HR factor: 1.02 vs: Trey Yesavage Confidence: Low
    Market line: 0.5 · DraftKings
  10. 10

    Luke Keaschall

    Minnesota Twins vs San Francisco Giants

    Minnesota Twins @ San Francisco Giants · Oracle Park · 9:45 PM ET

    41.2%
    +1.9pp edge
    Neutral
    Park HR factor: 0.91 vs: Blade Tidwell Confidence: Low
    Market line: 0.5 · BetRivers