Early Beta · Research Model

Team Totals

Individual team over/under

Per-team run projections isolating each side. Useful for SGP construction and team-level analysis. Not official picks.

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This is an early beta research model. Not official picks.

How to Read This Page

Model Prob — Poisson-compound simulation estimate.

Implied Prob — Break-even rate from sportsbook odds.

Edge — Model prob minus implied. Positive = value.

Research Pick — Best edge per market per game.

Candidate Audit — All sides, ~50% win rate by design.

Frozen Odds — Snapshot at model time, may differ from live.